Without migration of some magnitude, Singapore's population will decline - even if it manages to boost its Total Fertility Rate (TFR) to 1.85, up from the current 1.15.
This was a key conclusion from a 2007 study conducted by the Institute of Policy Studies (IPS), which generated various scenarios of Singapore's population trends.
One of them assumes that Singapore's TFR will rise gradually to 1.85 by 2025 before stabilising at that level, and that there is zero net migration.
Under such circumstances, Singapore's resident population will decline from the current 3.77 million, to 3.37 million by 2050.
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